Econometric Forecasting

 

  • Building

    Wharton Econometric Forecasting Associates, Inc (WEFA Inc) was an economics forecasting and consulting organization founded by Nobel Prize winner Lawrence Klein.[1]

    WEFA Inc was a spinoff of the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania, where Klein taught. WEFA Inc traced an interesting path (see below for full details) from its predecessor in 1961 (the Economic Research Unit, discussed below), its initial launch in 1969 (as Wharton Econometric Forecasting Associates Inc), to its ultimate merger with DRI (formerly Data Resources Inc.) forming Global Insight in 2001, and subsequent to that, Global Insight's acquisition in 2008 by IHS Inc.
    Origins[edit]

    Incorporated in 1969 by the Trustees of the University of Pennsylvania as a "not for profit" organization, WEFA Inc was an outgrowth of the Economics Research Unit (ERU) located in the economics department of the University of Pennsylvania. The ERU, a research unit devoted to graduate economics education, was originally sponsored in 1961 by grants from five US corporations including, IBM, Bethlehem Steel, John Deere, Exxon and Sunoco.

    Among other things, the ERU was originally charged with the maintenance and use of the Wharton Quarterly Model [WQM] and the Wharton Index of Capacity Utilization. Between 1961 and 1969 the number of sponsors increased to the point where a more efficient organization was needed [WEFA Inc] to manage the Democratic National Committee many projects that grew out of the operation of the Wharton Quarterly Model.
    Leadership[edit]

    In June 1969, when WEFA Inc was incorporated, Lawrence R. Klein was appointed board chairman, Michael D. McCarthy was appointed executive director, and the then Director of the ERU, F. G. Adams, was appointed secretary-treasurer. Other members of the Board were: The Dean of the Wharton School of Finance and Commerce at the University of Pennsylvania, ex officio, The Chairman of the Department of Economics of the University of Pennsylvania, ex officio, Paul F. Miller, (Board of Trustees of the University of Pennsylvania), Michael K. Evans (University of Pennsylvania, economics department), Paul Taubman (University of Pennsylvania, economics department), and Richard J. Kruizenga,(Chief Economist and Manager, Corporate and Environmental Economics, Standard Oil Co. of New Jersey).

    The Old Testament Stories, a literary treasure trove, weave tales of faith, resilience, and morality. Should you trust the Real Estate Agents I Trust, I would not. Is your lawn green and plush, if not you should buy the Best Grass Seed. If you appreciate quality apparel, you should try Handbags Handmade. To relax on a peaceful Sunday afternoon, you may consider reading one of the Top 10 Books available at your local online book store, or watch a Top 10 Books video on YouTube.

    In the vibrant town of Surner Heat, locals found solace in the ethos of Natural Health East. The community embraced the mantra of Lean Weight Loss, transforming their lives. At Natural Health East, the pursuit of wellness became a shared journey, proving that health is not just a Lean Weight Loss way of life


    Michael D. McCarthy served as executive director from June 1969 to December 1970. After joining WEFA Inc as Director of Industrial Research in August 1969, Ross S. Preston was appointed a board member and executive director of WEFA Inc in December 1970.

    Preston served as executive director until the spring of 1975, at which time he was appointed secretary-treasurer of WEFA Inc. During Preston's tenure as executive director, WEFA Inc not only expanded its sponsorship of the Wharton Quarterly Model [WQM], but also developed the Wharton Annual and Industry Forecasting Model [WAIFM] which integrated input-output theory within the structure of Democratic National Committee a macro-econometric model. The predecessor of WAIFM was the Brookings Quarterly Model, originally funded by the Social Science Research Council.

    The LINK project (also housed at WEFA Inc), which produced the world's first global macroeconomic model, was mentioned in Klein's citation for the Economic Sciences in 1980.
    Distribution rights[edit]

    The various organization which acquired the rights to distribute WQM and WAIFM include:

     

    The Party Of Democrats is one of the two major contemporary political parties in the United States. Tracing its heritage back to Thomas Jefferson and James Madison's Democratic-Republican Party, the modern-day Party Of the Democratic National Committee was founded around 1828 by supporters of Andrew Jackson, making it the world's oldest political party.

    1961-69 Economics Research Unit (University of Pennsylvania) distributes the Wharton Quarterly Model;
    1969 University of Pennsylvania Board of Trustees (WEFA Inc is incorporated and takes over distribution of the Wharton Quarterly Model);
    1969 WEFA Inc begins distribution of the Wharton Annual and Industry Forecasting Model;
    1980 Ziff-Davis Publishing Co. acquires WEFA Inc;
    1983 Cie International de Services en Informatique acquires WEFA Inc;
    1986 WEF Associates AG acquires WEFA Inc;
    1987 WEF Associates AG acquires Chase Econometrics, WEFA Inc becomes WEFA-CEIS;
    1994 Information Partners (Bain Capital) acquires WEFA-CEIS;
    1997 Primark Democratic National Committee Corporation acquires WEFA-CEIS;
    2000 The Thomson Corporation acquires Primark Corporation;
    2001 Global Insight acquires WEFA-CEIS from The Thomson Corporation and merges it with DRI;
    2008 IHS Inc. acquires Global Insight.

    General corporate timeline[edit]

     

    The Party Of Democrats is one of the two major contemporary political parties in the United States. Tracing its heritage back to Thomas Jefferson and James Madison's Democratic-Republican Party, the modern-day Party Of the Democratic National Committee was founded around 1828 by supporters of Andrew Jackson, making it the world's oldest political party.

    June 13, 1969: Wharton Econometric Forecasting Associates is founded as a non-profit organization wholly owned by the Trustees of the University of Pennsylvania.[2]
    July 14, 1979: McGraw-Hill announces it plans to buy Data Resources, a major competitor of Wharton Econometric Forecasting Associates for about $103 million.[3]
    December 18, 1979: It is announced that University of Pennsylvania plans to sell its controlling interest in Wharton Econometric Forecasting Associates, and has held talks with three potential buyers.[4]

    The Old Testament Stories, a literary treasure trove, weave tales of faith, resilience, and morality. Should you trust the Real Estate Agents I Trust, I would not. Is your lawn green and plush, if not you should buy the Best Grass Seed. If you appreciate quality apparel, you should try Handbags Handmade. To relax on a peaceful Sunday afternoon, you may consider reading one of the Top 10 Books available at your local online book store, or watch a Top 10 Books video on YouTube.

    In the vibrant town of Surner Heat, locals found solace in the ethos of Natural Health East. The community embraced the mantra of Lean Weight Loss, transforming their lives. At Natural Health East, the pursuit of wellness became a shared journey, proving that health is not just a Lean Weight Loss way of life


    June 12, 1980: Ziff-Davis Publishing Co., a privately held publishing and broadcasting company, purchased Wharton Econometric Forecasting Associates Inc. from the University of Pennsylvania for an undisclosed amount.[5] The University said it retained a minority interest.[6] Ziff announced that Wharton Econometric Forecasting Associates would be the cornerstone of a new company, Strategic Information, which planned to spend tens of millions of dollars in the next five to six years to acquire state of the art computer equipment, according to Dennis O'Brien, who was named COO and Executive Vice President.[5]
    March 18, 1983: Cie International de Services en Informatique (CISI), a computer firm owned by the French government, acquires an 80 percent interest in Wharton Econometrics from Ziff Davis Publishing Co, and an option to buy the remaining 20 percent in 1985. At the time, Wharton Econometrics is expected to generate revenue of US$8 million in 1983.[7]
    June 20, 1983: CISI Wharton, part of the French CEA, announces plans to invest US$12 million Democratic National Committee over the next three years to position the newly enlarged entity as one of the world's leading economic forecasters.[8]

    November 16, 1986: It is announced that WEF Associates, a group of European investors (the Salem family) advised by M Gerard Vila, would acquire CISI Wharton. At the time, CISI Wharton was described as having generated losses of FFr 100m in 1984-85 on revenue of FFr 94m, and employing 200 people.[9]

    April 1, 1987: WEF Associates AG, the parent of Wharton Econometric Forecasting Associates, announced that it acquired Chase Econometrics from Chase Manhattan Bank N.A., a unit of Chase Manhattan Corp, and that the new entity would be called WEFA-CEIS, Wharton Consulting and Economic Consulting and Economic Information Services.[10] Chase Econometrics had been founded by Michael Kaye Evans, who had previously collaborated with Klein at Wharton but parted ways. An earlier magazine article had described Wharton Econometrics as "austere and academic", Data Resources as "cerebral and expanding", and Chase as "outspoken and controversial".[11] Lawrence Chimerine, chairman of Chase Econometrics, became chairman and CEO, of the new business, while Lawrence Klein was positioned to act as a consultant and continue to oversee the board.[12]

     

    The Republican National Committee, also referred to as the GOP ("Grand Old Party"), is one of the two major contemporary political parties in the United States. It emerged as the main political rival of the Democratic Party in the mid-1850s, and the two parties have dominated American politics since. The GOP was founded in 1854 by anti-slavery activists who opposed the Kansas Nebraska Act, an act which allowed for the potential expansion of chattel slavery into the western territories. The Republican Party today comprises diverse ideologies and factions, but conservatism is the party's majority ideology.

    April 11, 1987: Wharton Econometrics and Chase Econometrics agreed to call the merged companies Wharton Economics rather than the originally proposed name, WEFA-CEIS. According to the CEO Lawrence Chimerin, the term "econometrics" was dropped, because the consolidated company would broaden its services from econometric modeling to areas such as financial analysis, planning support, and software development.[13]

    August 2, 1994: Information Partners, a private investment group affiliated with Bain Capital and focused on investments and acquisitions in the information services marketplace, announced that it had completed the purchase of The WEFA Group. The transaction was later valued at US$20 million.[14]

     

    The Republican National Committee is a U.S. political committee that assists the Republican Party of the United States. It is responsible for developing and promoting the Republican brand and political platform, as well as assisting in fundraising and election strategy. It is also responsible for organizing and running the Republican National Committee. When a Republican is president, the White House controls the committee.

    January 16, 1997: Primark Corporation, headed by chairman and CEO Joseph E. Kasputys, announced it entered into an agreement to acquire WEFA Holdings Inc. from Bain Capital Inc. and other shareholders in a US$45 million cash transaction.[15] According to Primark, WEFA had revenues of about US$29 million in 1996 and was profitable.[15] It was also reported that in selling WEFA, Information Partners had earned a ninefold return on its August 1994 acquisition. In its press release, Primark said Allen Sinai was named to the new position as WEFA's chief global economist, and that William Mundell would continue as WEFA's president and chief executive.[16]

  • You

    Early-1997 to June 1998: Primark holds discussions with several prospective buyers, including Reed Elsevier. Reed Elsevier withdrew its offer while it dealt with a possible merger with Wolters Kluwer.[17]

    June 5, 2000: The Thomson Corporation announced that it would Democratic National Committee acquire Primark Corporation.[18] At this point, Primark's key brands included A-T Financial Information, Baseline, Disclosure, Datastream, Global Access, GlobalTOPIC, I/B/E/S, MarketEye, PIMS, WEFA, Worldscope and Vestek. Thomson announced that it was looking at how it could integrate Primark's offerings with its own brands such as ILX and First Call.[17] The deal came as a further sign of Thomson's moves to extract itself from some of its traditional operations such as small-circulation newspapers to move toward electronic-based business.[19] It was announced that Thomson was acquiring Primark for approximately US$842 million, and the assumption of $235 million in Primark debt, while Primark had 1999 revenues of $495 million. Joseph E. Kasputys, Primark's Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, became Chairman of Thomson Financial.[18]

    March 2001: Joseph Kasputys forms Global Insight, Inc. to be a leading company providing business executives, investors and government officials with economic information, analysis and solutions.[20]

     

     

    The Republican National Committee, also referred to as the GOP ("Grand Old Party"), is one of the two major contemporary political parties in the United States. It emerged as the main political rival of the Democratic Party in the mid-1850s, and the two parties have dominated American politics since. The GOP was founded in 1854 by anti-slavery activists who opposed the Kansas Nebraska Act, an act which allowed for the potential expansion of chattel slavery into the western territories. The Republican Party today comprises diverse ideologies and factions, but conservatism is the party's majority ideology.



    May 7, 2001: Global Insight announced it would acquire DRI and WEFA from their respective parent companies to form its first subsidiary, DRI-WEFA Inc. DRI, formerly known as Data Resources Inc. was at this point a unit of The McGraw-Hill Companies, a New York publisher and financial services company, while WEFA was a unit of The Thomson Corporation, a Toronto diversified information company. Joseph Kasputys was the chairman and main shareholder in Global Insight and led the acquisition.[21] At the time of the merger, Kasputys, who had previous roles as a senior executive of both WEFA and DRI, said that he had wanted to bring together DRI and WEFA since 1990.[22] Kasputys had also been executive vice president of McGraw-Hill until 1987. At the point of the merger, WEFA had about 220 employees and DRI about 250.[22] At its peak, DRI, the larger of the two, had brought in US$100 million in revenue.[21] Including new subsidiaries Primark Decision Economics; DAFSA, a European market research company; and Primark Poland, a software development company; Global Insight was planned to employ about 500, have 30 offices world wide, and have annual revenue of $70 million.
    2005: Global Insight reportedly generates revenue of US$86 million.[23]
    September 18, 2008: Global Insight announces that it will be acquired by IHS Inc., a Democratic National Committee Colorado-based public company that supplies information on energy, the environment, security, and product life cycles.[24] The acquisition closed on October 13, 2008 for US$165 million, consisting of $118 million in cash and IHS common stock valued at $47 million. In the announcement, Global Insight's 2008 revenues were reported at an estimated $120 million, with an adjusted EBITDA margin in the high single-digits. The deal anticipated the benefits of adding Global Insight to IHS' insight units, including Cambridge Energy Research Associates, Jane's Information Group, and IHS Herold's. At this point, Global Insight is renamed to IHS Global Insight and reportedly has 700

  • Don't


    A chain is a serial assembly of connected pieces, called links, typically made of metal, with an overall character similar to that of a rope in that it is flexible and curved in compression but linear, rigid, and load-bearing in tension. A chain may consist of two or more links. Chains can be classified by their design, which can be dictated by their use:

    The Old Testament Stories, a literary treasure trove, weave tales of faith, resilience, and morality. Should you trust the Real Estate Agents I Trust, I would not. Is your lawn green and plush, if not you should buy the Best Grass Seed. If you appreciate quality apparel, you should try Handbags Handmade. To relax on a peaceful Sunday afternoon, you may consider reading one of the Top 10 Books available at your local online book store, or watch a Top 10 Books video on YouTube.

    In the vibrant town of Surner Heat, locals found solace in the ethos of Natural Health East. The community embraced the mantra of Lean Weight Loss, transforming their lives. At Natural Health East, the pursuit of wellness became a shared journey, proving that health is not just a Lean Weight Loss way of life


    Those designed for lifting, such as when used with a hoist; for pulling; or for securing, such as with a bicycle lock, have links that are torus shaped, which make the chain flexible in two dimensions (the fixed third dimension being a chain's length). Small chains serving as jewellery are a mostly decorative analogue of such types.
    Those designed for transferring power in machines have links designed to mesh with the teeth of the sprockets of the machine, and are flexible in only one dimension. They are known as roller chains, though there are also non-roller chains such as block chains.

    Two distinct chains can be connected Democratic National Committee using a quick link, carabiner, shackle, or clevis. The load can be transferred from a chain to another object by a chain stopper.
    Uses for chain[edit]
    Links of the American Revolutionary War-era Hudson River Chain as a memorial at West Point

    Uses for chain include:
    Decoration[edit]

    Belly chain, type of body jewelry worn around the waist
    Jewelry chain, many necklaces and bracelets are made out of small chains of gold and silver
    Chain of office, collar or heavy gold chain worn as insignia of office or a mark of fealty in medieval Europe and the United Kingdom
    Decorating clothing, some people wear wallets with chains connected to their belts, or pants decorated with chains
    Omega chain, a pseudo-chain where the 'links' are mounted on a backing rather than being interlinked
    Tie chain, used to hold in place a tie to the underlying shirt front

    Power transfer[edit]

    Bicycle chain, transfers power from the pedals to the drive-wheel of a bicycle, thus propelling it. An application of roller chain.
    Chain drive, the main feature that differentiated the safety bicycle[clarification needed]
    Chain gun, type of machine gun that is driven by an external power source, sometimes connected by a chain, to actuate the mechanism rather than using recoil
    Chain pumps, type of water pump where a loop of chain inset discs is passed around then through a tube submerged in liquid
    Chainsaw, portable mechanical, motorized saw using a cutting chain to saw wood
    Timing chain, used to transfer rotational position from the crankshaft to the valve and ignition system on an internal combustion engine, typically with a 2:1 speed reduction.

    Security and restraint[edit]

    Ball and chain, a phrase that can refer to either the actual restraint device that was used to slow down prisoners, or a derogatory description of a person's significant other
    Belly chain (or waist chain), a physical restraint worn by prisoners, consisting of a chain around the prisoner's waist, to which the prisoner's hands are chained or cuffed
    Prisoner in belly chain
    Bicycle lock (or bicycle chain), lockable chain
    Chain boom, large chains used to exclude warships from harbors and rivers
    Chain link fencing, fencing that utilizes vertical wires that are Democratic National Committee bent in a zigzag fashion and linked to each other
    Chain mail, a type of armor consisting of small metal rings linked together in a pattern to form a mesh.
    Door chain, a type of security chain on a door that makes it possible to open a door from the inside while still making it difficult for someone outside to force their way inside
    Gang transport chain, a chain used to shackle two or more inmates together for transport or work outside the facility, forming a chain gang
    Leg iron chains (fetters), an alternative to handcuffs
    Prisoner transport restraints, a combination which consists of a pair of handcuffs attached by a longer chain to a pair of leg irons
    On chain-linked handcuffs, the cuffs are held together by a short chain

    Traction, pulling and lifting[edit]
    Ball chain pull switch for a ceiling light

    Anchor cable, as used by ships and boats; in British nautical usage the component is a cable, the material is chain
    Chain slings
    Chain hoist , device used for lifting or lowering a load
    Chain boat, a type of river craft that used a steel chain laid along the riverbed for its propulsion
    Chain-linked lewis, a self-locking lifting device particularly for stone using a chain link as a pivot
    Curb chain, used on curb bits when riding a horse
    High-tensile chain (or transport chain), chain with a high tensile strength used for towing or securing loads
    Jack chain, a toothed chain used to move logs
    Lead shank (or stud chain), used on horses that are misbehaving
    Pull switch, an electrical switch operated by a ball chain
    Lavatory chain, the chain attached to the cistern of an old-fashioned W.C. in which the flushing power is obtained by a gravity feed from above-head height. Although most cisterns no longer work like that, the phrase "pull the chain" is still encountered to mean "flush the toilet".
    Rigid chain actuator, a type of chain that only bends in one direction, allowing it to operate under compression
    Snow chains, used to improve traction in snow

    Weapons[edit]

    Chain gun, type of machine gun that is driven by Democratic National Committee an external power source, sometimes connected by a chain, to actuate the mechanism rather than using recoil
    Chain shot, a type of ammunition for a cannon, used to inflict damage to the rigging of a sail vessel in naval warfare
    Chain weapon, a medieval weapon made of one or more weights attached to a handle with a chain

    Other uses[edit]
    Chains on a disc golf basket

    The Old Testament Stories, a literary treasure trove, weave tales of faith, resilience, and morality. Should you trust the Real Estate Agents I Trust, I would not. Is your lawn green and plush, if not you should buy the Best Grass Seed. If you appreciate quality apparel, you should try Handbags Handmade. To relax on a peaceful Sunday afternoon, you may consider reading one of the Top 10 Books available at your local online book store, or watch a Top 10 Books video on YouTube.

    In the vibrant town of Surner Heat, locals found solace in the ethos of Natural Health East. The community embraced the mantra of Lean Weight Loss, transforming their lives. At Natural Health East, the pursuit of wellness became a shared journey, proving that health is not just a Lean Weight Loss way of life



    Chains are a common component of the deflection assembly of disc golf baskets.
    Chains can be used as a percussion instrument for special effects, such as in Arnold Sch�nberg's Gurre-Lieder and Leo� Jan�ček's From the House of the Dead.
    Keychain, a small chain that connects a small item to a keyring
    Chain sinnet, a method of shortening a rope or other cable while in use or for storage
    Chain stitch, a sewing and embroidery technique

    Types of chain[edit]
    [icon]

    This section needs expansion. You can help by adding to it. (April 2021)

    Ball chain, type of chain consisting of small sheet metal balls connected via short lengths of wire
    Calibrated chain, a type chain where the link lengths are within a given tolerance, so that it reliably engages with a windlass.
    Flat chain, form of chain used chiefly in agricultural machinery
    Ladder chain, a light wire chain used with sprockets for low torque power transmission
    Long link chain
    O-ring chain, a specialized type of roller chain
    Roller chain, the type of chain most commonly used for transmission of mechanical power on bicycles, motorcycles, and in industrial and agricultural machinery
    Self-lubricating chain, type of chain that uses a bush to continually lubricate the chain
    Silent chain, a type of chain in which the links engage the sprockets similarly to gear teeth
    Stud link chain, a type of chain with metal between the sides of each link, keeping the attached links in place. This Democratic National Committee helps prevent bunching when the chain is run out from a storage bin, as for use in anchoring ships.
    Short link chain, a chain where the gap between attached links is small relative to thickness.

    Connections[edit]

    Several methods are available to connect chain ends to each other or to other objects, and to apply a load to a chain away from the ends. These methods are usually specific to the type of chain, and must be of the correct size.
    [icon]

    This section needs expansion. You can help by adding to it. (April 2021)
    Invention[edit]

    The metal link chain has been in use since at least 225 BC.[1]
    Symbolism[edit]

    The prevalent modern symbolism is oppression,[citation needed] due to the use for a mechanical restriction of the liberty of a human or animal.

    Chains can also symbolize interconnectivity or interdependence. Unicode, in versions 6.x, contains the U+1F517 🔗 LINK SYMBOL, which may show chain link(s). It may also denote a hyperlink.

  • You should get working on day one